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Sports
Betting Money Management
& Bankroll Management
Bettingresource Money Management for small players*: You can find many articles on the
internet about money management systems and bankroll management strategies with different
approaches. We recommend that you use our method. Choose a bankroll that you
can afford. Once you have selected your staring bankroll, don't
bet any more than 5% of your bankroll on a single bet -- that means, the
highest bet (10 unit bets) should be 5% of your bankroll. So each
unit is 0.50% of the bankroll. Here is the table: 1unit=0.5%,
2unit=1%, 3unit=1.5%, 4unit=2%, 5unit=2.5%, 6unit=3%, 7unit=3.5%,
8unit=4%, 9unit=4.5% and 10unit=5%. Keep on reading to learn how to
make adjustments to the bankroll after wins and losses.
*"Small players" refers to players with
bankroll of $10,000 or less. This money management
aggressive and it is not recommended in the long run. It is a short
term plan for small players to help build their
bankroll. Your goal is to grow your bankroll to a point where you
can do 10 unit = 3% with a reasonable monetary value. Most
professional bettors don't bet bigger than 3% of their bankroll in a
single bet.
Let's imagine your bankroll is
$500. Using the imaginary bankroll a 1 unit bet would be for $2.50
and a 10 unit bet would be for $25. Once you have started betting,
do not adjust the winnings/losses to your bankroll, meaning, your
bankroll and the dollar value of the unit stays the same regardless of the outcome
of the bets. For example, let's say you finish the first week with a
$100 loss or a $100 gain to make your balance $400 or $600 going
into the 2nd day; now your unit size for the 2nd day should still be
based on your starting bankroll of $500. Professional punters who
live off sports betting keep the value of the unit size constant based on their
starting bankroll throughout the season -- they don't add their
winnings into the bankroll to increase the value of the unit size.
Instead, they withdraw their winnings and treat it as income!
However, not everyone has the bankroll to make a living off sports
betting. Most want to start with a small bankroll and build their
way up. If you want to build your bankroll up, add your winnings to
your bankroll and adjust your unit size based on the adjusted
bankroll only at the start of a new week. Do not make any
adjustments if you finish the week with a loss. If you make an
adjustment after a winning week and follow up with a losing week, you must
wait till all those losses are made back before adjusting the
bankroll again. For example: You finish the first week with $100
profit and you adjust your bankroll to $600 for the 2nd week, which makes 1unit=$3. Now lets say your 2nd week was a $50
loss using the new unit value. That makes your 3rd week's balance
$550, but the important thing is that you don't make any changes to
your unit value; 1 unit is still $3 for the 3rd week. Now let's say you
finish the 3rd week with a $75 loss. That makes your 4th week balance
$475, and again the important thing is that you don't make any
changes to your unit value; 1 unit is still $3 for the 4th week. It
remains $3 until you your balances becomes greater than $600. Now
lets say you made a total profit of $100 for the 4th week and
another $100 for the fifth week to make your balance $650 for the
6th week. For the 6th week you can set the new bankroll to $650; 1 unit is $3.25
now!
Once you reach your desired unit value you can keep it
constant. Remember not to be greedy.
*****
Few More Words on
Money Management: Straight Betting and Flat Betting
Avoid the parlays,
teasers, props etc that most books like to promote (it increases
their own profit margins, of course). If you like the Broncos to
cover the spread on a particular day, and the Bears and Falcons as
well, bet them all individually. If you win all three, that's great,
but winning two of three is much more likely than sweeping the card.
And two out of three produces a profit. Even winning just one of the
three bets is not a disastrous result. Sure, it's not a winning day,
but for the three bets you made, at least you got a return on one of
them. When you get into the habit of parlays and teasers, there's no
result possible except winning all three bets that will allow you to
get any return on your investment at all.
Flat betting means to
wager a similar amount on every game that you play. We'll talk about
wager size as a percentage of bankroll in a moment, but first we
must discuss the concept in general. When you vary your bet size,
it's easy to pick more winners than losers, but not bring home any
profit as a result. Again, let's go back to the day where you like
the Bears, Falcons and Broncos as well. Let's say you feel like the
Broncos are the best bet on the board, and you decide to bet $330 to
win $300 on LA. Then you like the Falcons and Bears a bit less,
betting $165 to win $150 on both of those. Lo and behold, you win
two out of three. Unfortunately, the two that you won were the
smaller ones, and on a day where you picked more winners than
losers, you'll still lose money. Specifically, you risked a total of
$660, won two out of three, and got back only $600, a loss of $60.
Had you bet them all for the same amount, you'd have a profit. For
example, had you flat bet all three at, say, $220 to win $200, you'd
have won $180. Same thing, winning two out of three; same amount of
total cash risked, but one method shows profit, while the other
shows loss. This is the key: When you vary your bet size, picking
more winners than losers does not guarantee a profit. Same thing
with parlays and teasers. But when you flat bet, keeping your bet
size constant, regardless of how much you supposedly 'like' the
plays the results are extremely predictable. Win more games than you
lose and you'll make a profit every time.
Determining the
appropriate bet size is a bit more difficult, but it's not hard once
you understand the basic concepts involved. The goal is to bet
enough to maximize winnings while keeping plenty in reserve to
withstand any potential losing streak. Because you could be the best
handicapper in the world, but if you lose all your money during a
bad run, you're done - it's that simple. You have to be conservative
enough to keep yourself in action, during good times and bad. And
the amount of your bankroll will determine your standard bet size.
Few folks recommend this, but I think your percentage of bankroll
that you should be willing to risk on each and every play does vary
depending on the size of your bankroll. Here's why:
Most bettors begin
with a short bankroll, perhaps a few hundred dollars or a grand -
somewhere in that range. For bettors with larger 'rolls a standard
play involves around 2%-3% of their bankroll. For example, with 10k
to invest in sports betting, the standard wager size should be
between $220 to win $200 or $330 to win $300. But if you only have
$200 to begin with, betting 2% of your bankroll equals a $4 bet. Not
much fun or excitement to win four bucks, nor much profit when you
do win. That's why, with lesser bankrolls, I'd advocate a more
aggressive betting strategy for the short term; somewhere in the
range of 5% - 7.5%. You have to be able to win something, and
beginning bettors with this type of bankroll generally aren't as
concerned from the get-go about riding out a losing period. I would
never recommend beginning to get involved with sports betting
without a minimum of $1000 in your bankroll, making a standard wager
size in the $25 - $50 dollar range perfectly normal and acceptable
for beginning bettors. It's high enough to make some kind of profit
and enjoy the fruits of your labors when you win, but you can ride
out a bad week or two and still be in action.
Bettors with larger
bankrolls must bet a lower percentage on each wager. Firstly, you
have more to lose, so protecting your investment becomes crucial.
It's one thing to lose a couple hundred dollars sports betting; it's
quite another to lose a five figure bankroll. And you must think
about what will happen if you do lose, because losing, while
extremely undesirable, is a possible outcome. A rational bettor
accepts this risk, understands it and makes his or her decisions
accordingly. When you've got 5k in various accounts offshore, you
can afford to take lesser risks to achieve your desired goal of
making a profit. Again, the range of 2%-3% makes sense. You still
make a nice profit when you win, and you limit your risk of losing
your hard earned investment.
Straight bet and flat
bet a specific and pre-determined percentage of your bankroll.
That's the key. The hard part is having the discipline to do it,
every single time. NO exceptions, no wild betting sprees off a big
winning weekend or chasing to win back all the losses from a bad
week in a single day. There isn't anyone reading this essay who
hasn't seen a game that they absolutely loved, a sure winner. The
temptation is there to load up on these games, the 'it's a lock to
win' mentality. The reality is that when a $50 bettor places a $500
wager on a game, it's no more likely to win than any other game that
the same bettor puts $50 on. The goal is always the same: If you can
pick more winners than losers, you should show a profit.
The term for this
kind of betting pattern is 'grinding'. We're not looking for the big
score. Sure, there's someone somewhere who hits a seven team parlay
every week, and there's someone else who risks his or her entire
bankroll on a single play and wins that bet. But there are many more
who don't have that kind of success, and those that do have it
rarely maintain that kind of 'luck' over the long term. Eventually,
they return everything that they've won back into the bookies hands.
The grinders method is much less volatile and much more likely to
achieve positive results over the course of a single season, or
many, many years.
The bottom line is
this: don't look for the quick score, because that's when the odds
really are against you. Professional bettors including myself don't
look for the 6-0 weekend. Rather, our goal is more like a 12-8 week,
that coveted 60% winners to losers ratio. A $110 bettor who goes
12-8 for a week will return $320 on a total investment of $2200 for
the week, about a 15% return. Ask any stock investor if they'd be
happy with a 15% return for a week, and the answer is universally
'YES'. If you can average that kind of return over the long term,
and it is quite possible to do so, you'll be betting and winning on
sports for years to come, and enjoying the profits from your sports
betting investment. Small, steady, regular profit over the long term
can only be achieved with a solid money management system such as
this one. Remember, be PATIENT, stay
DISCIPLINED, and with our
picks and money management, you will watch your bankroll grow to
unimaginable levels.
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